Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 9.283402 10.254561 11.294804 12.493715 13.839586 15.306281 17.029013
2025-10-05 7.915458 9.272465 10.826055 12.743821 15.057750 17.772321 21.216720
2025-10-12 6.903176 8.505394 10.448594 12.996701 16.276146 20.390113 25.997179
2025-10-19 6.017754 7.745488 9.948848 12.996543 17.152494 22.693726 30.762737
2025-10-26 5.265933 7.040648 9.405775 12.835958 17.763026 24.707533 35.458537
2025-11-02 4.652411 6.432792 8.900008 12.633689 18.255785 26.594763 40.263110
2025-11-09 4.146100 5.906825 8.433665 12.407495 18.654785 28.368497 45.164772
2025-11-16 3.743083 5.479595 8.052541 12.244769 19.104945 30.254843 50.541016
2025-11-23 3.423366 5.138772 7.756733 12.165789 19.658516 32.360981 56.633096
2025-11-30 3.225098 4.961167 7.688648 12.434909 20.810316 35.625062 65.383595
2025-12-07 2.979152 4.681592 7.424924 12.338305 21.303490 37.776362 72.398346
2025-12-14 2.727856 4.368659 7.073108 12.043707 21.391635 39.173702 78.138770
2025-12-21 2.531233 4.133234 6.835821 11.937702 21.839616 41.374276 86.117271
2025-12-28 2.434701 4.059360 6.869693 12.331256 23.302660 45.834280 100.053175
2026-01-04 2.338086 3.975992 6.877495 12.675082 24.714731 50.425495 115.375264
2026-01-11 2.210873 3.826268 6.749343 12.737622 25.552531 53.912158 128.838508
2026-01-18 2.072488 3.644122 6.543292 12.619219 25.984982 56.554751 140.774326
2026-01-25 1.940501 3.462906 6.322297 12.444398 26.267461 58.891907 152.468321
2026-02-01 1.816971 3.287815 6.097590 12.236411 26.445340 61.004918 164.071697
2026-02-08 1.710645 3.137559 5.908881 12.085025 26.734340 63.445570 177.289935
2026-02-15 1.621518 3.014085 5.763384 12.012637 27.202682 66.432166 193.015123
2026-02-22 1.572635 2.966681 5.769306 12.281350 28.550015 72.015830 218.760312
2026-03-01 1.493627 2.852326 5.625412 12.188227 28.965627 75.096643 236.978602